I share a flat with Neil, a friend of many years, who is convinced that BPO is the future of Indian business.
Okay! I did not have to come to London and share a flat with him to know that - Nasscom and everyone else in India told that to me in many ways, many times. However, I had to live with Neil in a flat to know the extent of his faith in this idea, an idea which I disagree with!!
Never mind the trade bodies - I have learnt that through my experience in dotcom years. I almost blindly followed everything that happened in Comdex and elsewhere, spent money on attending seminars and diligently bought every report that came out. Well, I dont blame them for the fact that I am not a millionaire yet, but I know you can not be in a trade body and say that this industry has such and such constraints. That is simply not their job to tell us so.
But, what about Neil? He behaves exactly as I did in 2000. He believes it is the future - he collects all the data that comes out anywhere. All correct data, obviously, no dearth of that in such a heady time. He sees the common sense logic of cost reduction, why won't someone ship out their accounting department when it will reduce the costs by 50% or more? Well, I am sceptical - I have still not figured out why bookshops exist to this day.
BPO is the future of Indian business. Yes, it looks like that way. Indians were always good back-office operators [did anyone say clerk?], we have been trained well to do that. We have been taught English to perform the clerical, menial jobs of the empire; here we are at it again.
BPO is the future of Indian business - Neil believes that and he is investing all his energy and enterprise into that. What would he have spent time on, if this did not occur to him? No, not brooding like me - he is a man of action. Probably, in developing clothing brand, probably in agri-business, food processing, software products, consulting, many other things that could be done by such an intelligent and enterprising person.
But he would not do that. BPO has been proclaimed by people in the know to be the future. I recall we used to read in magazines in the 90s that Indian software industry, which was then doing well by body-shopping and data-processing, will grow
up the value chain soon. There will new 'Products', new indian multinationals. We were starry-eyed! We spent hours thinking of new ideas [well, dotcoms!], we wanted to break new ground, we wanted to create brands and cult-followings, just like the americans did. Instead, we chose to go
down the value chain.
Well, it is a solitary mumbo-jumbo, that's what blogs are meant to be. But, I believe we are frittering away an opportunity. BPO is not the future - I will tell you why I think so.
Neil's straight-forward faith in the prospect of BPO stands on the fact that it will reduce costs. The bevvy of small, new entrepreurs are coming into it, as they believe they can offer services even cheaper, compared to more established players with higher overheads. But, there is a big gap in this thinking. We set benchmarks against what the cost would be for the organisations doing the work themselves. But, Charles Handy and others saw it coming two decades back - the non-critical functions of the organisations getting outsourced. Internet made it offshorable, adding to savings. For many organisations today, it is really a movement from 'outsourced work' to 'offshore work' - a scenario where cost savings are not as dramatic, and credibility and service issues are more important than we think. The organisations, in the least, have to be able to believe that they can manage the off-shore operation at least as easily as their outsourced operation. Therefore, while IBM, Accenture, EDS will continue to expand their businesses, and offer cheaper services by offshoring it internally, the new Indian entrepreneur setting up a BPO unit has to struggle to prove his worth to already sceptical customers. It is no longer just about costs, as we would like it to be - it is about competence and costs. I have seen a friend of mine concluding a very smooth deal with a Danish advertising agency to outsource their low resolution graphics and page layouting operations to Bangladesh, largely because he was an advertising man himself, running a large agency, handling big clients and having a big-name affiliation. I am forced to believe that with our faith in costs, we forgot that we dont get BAs to do our accounts just because they will charge a fraction of our CAs.
Second, coming from what I just said, very little is being done in building these competencies and people infrastructure. In the gold rush of the BPO, the small town investor has gone hunting and set up data-processing outfits. He would put that money and run an IT school in the 90s. I am no apologist for IT Training, and I do think that there is an over-supply of IT schools. But, what about English Skills, Behavioural Skills, Practical Skils like Accounting, Customer Service, Health Care? Training requirements change over time - in a normal transition, the IT schools would have incorporated all these to remain afloat. McKinsey came out with its Global Institute Report in 2005 predicting that only 14% of developing country graduates of equal education and experience [with the developed country counter-part] can replace the developed country kid in their job. They cited language proficiency, practical skill levels and labour mobility as prime causes. But, alas, both the Nasscom and the government is telling the Indian entrepreneurs to join the glod rush of BPO. At the cost of sounding obsessed, I would fear that this BPO rush will leave our society skill-poor, which will probably damage development prospects of BPO as well as many other future-focused industries.
And, lastly, from close quarters, I can see one big trend we are missing out on. I am quite intrigued by the fact how important design aspects of a product or service is becoming. I could see it is becoming increasingly important. I am not just seeing it from the eyes of my british colleagues, who have always been obsessed with design - but also hearing about it in American journals and behold - from Chinese manufacturers. In our mad rush to the backoffice, Indian start-ups are increasingly doing poorly here. In my experience, an average Indian business house is grossly oblivious of the design aspects of its products or services. I guess I understand this - This is the cost is everything mentality! But I am rather convinced that it is a regressive business strategy.
So, as I keep trying to tell Neil, BPO is a great business, but that is a business of the present. It is good money, but not the future. I hope the policy-makers in India will also soon start telling him the same.